The attachments that came with the AGM email featured a 'History Of' document whose data included that of Hundred entrants throughout the event's history. It showed that in 1972 the average age of Hundreders was just 31; in 2015 it had risen, along with the LDWA itself, to 59.
According to Steph Carter, membership numbers are increasing at around 3% per year. Whether this is enough to pull the majority age profile down is harder to determine, since (says Steph) ages are not recorded in members' data. What does seem clear is that there are a lot of us old(er) lifetime walkers whose experience runs (or, rather, walks at a pace not less than a national average) into decades. Just how many decades that is, and how many of them we have left, is a moot point.
Putting it baldly, a lot of us can't reasonably expect to be continuing for more than two or three further decades. Unless there are lot of young(er) lemmings coming up behind, by 2040 or thereabouts we'll have disappeared off the demographic cliff. By then it might, repeat MIGHT, need a replacement figure of a least 15% per annum in order for membership numbers to be maintained at current levels. We're all doomed, then ?
Maybe not. The new membership profile seems to contain a large number of runners or other endurance-discipline athletes wishing to 'downsize' to distance walking. If so, this is good news for the age demographic since such people will tend to be younger, perhaps less, even, than 40. I was slightly surprised to read from John's piece that walk 'difficulty' might be an issue for new members, since, perhaps by definition, they tend to be fitter than average for their age group.
However, I take the point that the more information is available about a walk the more likely it will be to attract new members who less sure of what to expect. For social walks (a first route to challenge events ?), perhaps an overall grade or rating which includes ascents and gradients. But it might be a good idea for social walk coordinators to remind new or returning members that their first point of contact is the walk leader. In my case, recent walks have been more successful (in terms of numbers) with less, rather than more, advance information - leaving plenty of room for any changes of circumstances, or just late route choices.
Iain